Sample Event Analysis

Official results are at the website


Absolute All standings




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2.
3.

Absolute Women standings




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2.
3.

By course analysis is here


As always (!) and (!!) means 7.5% and 15% above the estimate for this runner, and (?), (??) correspondingly below.Additional mark {new} was added recently. It shows runners whose name mentioned first time this year and therefore their score is not reliable due to lack of data.

Terrain was on average ..GV/km

Absolute standings analysis:

Women standings analysis:


Here is updated rolling Women  rankings
Here is updated  rolling Men Rankings

Enjoy.

2011 half year top power rankings according to O-scores

Women unqualifued (1+ races)

Place	Name	Power, points	Number of Races	Runner's class
1	Hannah Skelton,	136.9	1	F
2	Jenny Arvidsson, DVOA	122.2	3	F35+
3	Samantha Saeger, NEOC	113.5	23	F-21+
4	Alison Crocker, CSU	113.2	26	F-21+
5	Marie Arnesson, OK Loftan	109.1	9	F-21+
6	Carol Ross, Falcon	108.2	6	F-21+
7	Erin Nielsen, UNO	106.1	2	F-21+
8	Katarina Smith, Falcon	104.3	7	F35+
9	Louise Oram, GVOC	102.7	11	F-21+
10	Amy Sutbblefield, none	102.6	1	F

Women Qualified (4+ races anywhere)

Place	Name	Power, points	Number of Races	Runner's class
1	Samantha Saeger, NEOC	113.5	23	F-21+
2	Alison Crocker, CSU	113.2	26	F-21+
3	Marie Arnesson, OK Loftan	109.1	9	F-21+
4	Carol Ross, Falcon	108.2	6	F-21+
5	Katarina Smith, Falcon	104.3	7	F35+
6	Louise Oram, GVOC	102.7	11	F-21+
7	Pavlina Brautigam, WCOC	101.1	10	F50+
8	Kseniya Popova, HVO	100.9	6	F-21+
9	Hannah Burgess, USMAOC	100.4	15	F-20
10	Tea Laurila, FIN	99.2	6	F-21+

All Unqualified (1+ races)

Place	Name	Power, points	Number of Races	Runner's class
1	Greg Gallagher,	155.0	1	M
2	Anders Tiltnes, NOR	154.6	3	M-21+
3	Hannah Skelton,	136.9	1	F
4	Jonas Kjall, BAOC	136.7	16	M-21+
5	Ross Smith, CSU	134.8	26	M-21+
6	Killian Imhof, OL Regio Wil	131.6	3	M
7	Antonio Hernandez, none	131.6	1	M40+
8	William Hawkins, CSU	130.4	6	M-21+
9	David Hodkinson, GVOC	129.1	2	M
10	Robbie Anderson, OOC	127.4	16	M-21+

All Qualified (4+ races)

Place	Name	Power, points	Number of Races	Runner's class
1	Jonas Kjall, BAOC	136.7	16	M-21+
2	Ross Smith, CSU	134.8	26	M-21+
3	William Hawkins, CSU	130.4	6	M-21+
4	Robbie Anderson, OOC	127.4	16	M-21+
5	Michael Smith, Falcon	127.3	4	M-21+
6	Sergei Zhyk, DVOA	126.7	13	M-21+
7	Thomas Nipen, GVOC	124.6	10	M-21+
8	Wil Smith, Falcon	123.9	10	M35+
9	Jordan Laughlin, USMAOC	122.8	17	M-21+
10	Magnus Johansson, GVOC	122.8	14	M35+

O-scores analysis of Western States Champs

Official results are at the RMOC web page

Absolute all standings:


Absolute Women standings



By course analysis is here


As always (!) and (!!) means 7.5% and 15% above the estimate for this runner, and (?), (??) correspondingly below.Additional mark {new} shows runners whose name mentioned first time this year and therefore their score is not reliable due to lack of data.

O-scores analysis of Barebones

Official results are at the Barebones.ca

Absolute all standings:


Absolute Women standings - very interesting in comparison with official results



By course analysis is here

Interesting subset of the course analysis with Women only


As always (!) and (!!) means 7.5% and 15% above the estimate for this runner, and (?), (??) correspondingly below.Additional mark {new} shows runners whose name mentioned first time this year and therefore their score is not reliable due to lack of data.

NAOC top performers

Following table show those who improved significantly relative to their own average during the NAOC event

Runner	Class	Club	Power	Improvement
Patricia Mace	F45+	QOC	52.6	47.7%
Mark Mace	M55+	QOC	51.9	46.8%
Oriana Riley	F-10	DVOA	25.2	46.0%
Maxwell McWhirt	M-16	HOC	38.3	40.5%
Lucas Lyons	M-10	ROC	66.3	38.5%
Brian Ellis	M	GVOC	66.5	35.6%
Sue Kuestner	F	COC	51.4	30.9%
John Charlow	M80+	Ramblers	30.9	30.7%
William Cusworth	M40+	COC	92.3	30.4%
Adam Caplan-Bricker	M-18	NEOC	69.9	30.0%
Dana Breseman	F-16	COC	61.1	30.0%
Adeline Charles	F	FWOC	35.3	29.5%
Jane Pataki	F65+	A/L	29.3	28.0%
Eileen Breseman	F50+	COC	67.5	27.9%
Rob Rapkins	M60+	Ugly Gully	78.5	26.8%
Nicole Lennon	M	QOC	31	26.5%
Michael Lyons	M45+	ROC	82.9	25.0%
Rick Worner	M60+	ROC	67.4	24.9%
Rick Breseman	M55+	COC	87.9	24.1%
Raymond Chung	M45+	TOC	65.7	23.0%
Linda Moore	F70+	LVOC	51.4	23.0%
Glen Tryson	M55+	EMPO	91.5	23.0%
Vern Nelson	M-21+	CAN	63.9	22.8%
Heidi Cusworth	M40+	COC	49.4	21.9%
David Yee	M45+	NEOC	75.1	21.8%
Peggy Dickison	F50+	OK	83.5	21.2%
Shirley Donald	F70+	KOC	43.6	21.1%
Alex Kerr	M75+	GVOC	61.5	21.0%
Mike Poulsen	M50+	CROC	64.7	19.5%
Kathleen Lennon	F45+	QOC	62.9	18.0%
Barbara Bryant	F45+	NEOC	64.5	16.9%
Masha Konkov	F-10	BAOC	41.5	16.4%
Liam Tasker	F	NEOC	59	15.6%
Jonathan Rickel	M-12	TSN	59.3	14.5%
Michael Svoboda	M50+	SLOC	63.5	14.3%
Margaret Ellis	F60+	GVOC	67.3	13.7%
Scott Drumm	M45+	CROC	53.1	13.2%
Lennart Lundgren	M60+	FWOC	54.1	12.9%
Max Lennon	M-14	QOC	59	10.3%
Greg Chatfield	M60+	Ugly Gully	80.6	9.4%
Kimball Forrest	M55+	ARCT	99.1	8.4%

Enjoy

O-scores version of the Björn Kjellström Cup

Following discussion at Attackpoint, here is the O-scores evaluation of the CAN/USA team efforts


(EXCEL Source file is here) and here are overall Performance list and O-speed table

Following table of runners was used, top 3 O-scores from each country, same people as in discussion above.

Runner	Class	Club	LONG	MIDDLE	Short
Alison Crocker	F	USA	114.4	109.4
Angelica Riley	F	USA	90.8
Carol Ross	F	CAN	93.9	106.9	97.3
Ekaterina Orekhova	F	USA		96.5	90.7
Louise Oram	F	CAN	115.4	119.1	101.6
Marie-Cat Bruno	F	CAN	87.4	92.4
Nicki Rehn	F	CAN			89.8
Samantha Saeger	F	USA	112.9		107.8
Sandra Zurcher	F	USA		112.1	104
Boris Granovskiy	M	USA	128.1	127.4	120.4
Brian May	M	CAN			118.1
Eric Bone	M	USA	131.3	136.1	121.5
Mike Smith	M	CAN	141.7	143.3	125.5
Nick Duca	M	CAN	126.5	134.2
Patrick Goeres	M	CAN	140.3	133	131.9
Ross Smith	M	USA	132.3	145.4	118.6

Following table of results was compiled (plain sum of all related scores)

	Club	Class
	CAN		CAN Total	USA		USA Total
Values	F	M		F	M
LONG	296.7	408.5	705.2	318.1	391.7	709.8
MIDDLE	318.4	410.5	728.9	318	408.9	726.9
Short	288.7	375.5	664.2	302.5	360.5	663
			2098.3			2099.7

Resulting sum of scores for each country is amazingly close (2098.3 and 2099.7)

Accuracy of the score calculation doesn't allow to call winner on the margin of 1.4 points.


What is clear is that USA ladies and Canadian men are significantly better than their corresponding rivals

Billygoat results 1979-2010

Here is even more questionable analysis:

thanks to  times published in the convenient format at billygoat.org I made O-speed compilation of all Billygoats 1979-2010

Notice that average score for all events 1979-1999 is 50, because Billygoat is the only event available for these years and average runners by definition must have score 50.

Power at the view above is calculated using current power of the runner ( calculated within last rolling year), so evaluations do not matter much. If one goes to the event view, all powers for early years will be identical to the scores, as Billygoat currently the only event for each year before 1999.