here is the announcement:
===========================================
Annoucing the 2010 USA Junior World Orienteering Championship Team:
Males
Nathaniel Lyons ROC
Andrew Childs GMOC
Carl Underwood NEOC
Greg Ahlswede DVOA
Ethan Childs GMOC - declined
Keith Andersen USMAOC
1st Alternate - John H. Williams GAOC
2nd Alternate - John Goodwin UNO
Females
Hnnah Burgess USMAOC
Alison Campbell DVOA
Holly Kuestner COC
Congratulation to all of you and the best of luck in Denmark!
Janet Porter, USA Junior Team Administrator
Jeff Saegar, USA Junior Team Coach
Scott Drumm, USOF VP of Competition
==========================================
According to the O-scores the A-meet ratings are as follows
Nathaniel Lyons ROC (M-18), 123.8
Andrew Childs GMOC (M-18), 122.1
Carl Underwood NEOC (M-16), 120.6
Greg Ahlswede DVOA (M-20), 116.1
Ethan Childs GMOC -(M-16), 114.8
Keith Andersen USMAOC (M-20), 110.5
1st Alternate - John H. Williams GAOC, (M-18), 110.6
2nd Alternate - John Goodwin UNO (M-20), 108.6
So it looks like the sorted sequence is about right.
Cutoff is at level of 108.
Who is missing?
Erik Nystrom , (M-20), 136.8 Very solid performance, not too many races (not a citizen?)
Jaxon Rickel (M-16), at 123.7 Solid performance, not too many long races
Jordan Laughlin (M-20), 119.0 Solid Blue performance, many races (YB 1989..)
Huw Stradling , (M-18), 113.2 Shaky performance, one good event year ago (West point), not too many races
I think absence of Erik Nystrom in the team is a definite big loss, but according to Drew he is not a citizen, pity.
Females:
Hannah Burgess USMAOC, (F-20), 95.9
Alison Campbell DVOA (F-20), 98.1
Holly Kuestner COC (F-20), 95.6
Potential Possibilities Missed?
Tori Borish, (F-20), 90.0
Friday, April 16, 2010
Thursday, April 15, 2010
My comment at Attackpoint to the US Middle Champs discussion
I will use this point in the discussion to promote one more time my O-scores database system for those who didn't paid enough attention to it yet.
The system allowed me to predict Jaxon as a top runner some time ago when he had not enough meets to be A-ranked and was running orange.
O-scores is designed specially for those beginners who would like to evaluate themselves immediately and know how they stand to big guys on absolute scale. Doesn't matter what color or what level or event you are running.
I'm still waiting for feet to find time to perform a stress test which will confirm and validate system independently.
In the meantime shows that our best M-16 is still Carl Underwood with Jaxon trailing very close (~125) (link above). And also it shows that they both would beat or match Sergey Velichko and Joseph Brautigam being top M45+'ers (also ~125) (flip age class drop down).
Of course system would require more adequate data stream from local clubs in order to notice local stars and bring them to light. I'm working with event organizers on getting the data, but so far not many of them got interested, event though all what it cost is sending me CSV SportIdent export file.
I wonder, why?
We keep saying that we need to increase population, do this and do that and at the same time refuse to take somebodie's time and efforts to "start-up" some project, even thought to many it might seem useless, but is it harmfull?
The system allowed me to predict Jaxon as a top runner some time ago when he had not enough meets to be A-ranked and was running orange.
O-scores is designed specially for those beginners who would like to evaluate themselves immediately and know how they stand to big guys on absolute scale. Doesn't matter what color or what level or event you are running.
I'm still waiting for feet to find time to perform a stress test which will confirm and validate system independently.
In the meantime shows that our best M-16 is still Carl Underwood with Jaxon trailing very close (~125) (link above). And also it shows that they both would beat or match Sergey Velichko and Joseph Brautigam being top M45+'ers (also ~125) (flip age class drop down).
Of course system would require more adequate data stream from local clubs in order to notice local stars and bring them to light. I'm working with event organizers on getting the data, but so far not many of them got interested, event though all what it cost is sending me CSV SportIdent export file.
I wonder, why?
We keep saying that we need to increase population, do this and do that and at the same time refuse to take somebodie's time and efforts to "start-up" some project, even thought to many it might seem useless, but is it harmfull?
Tuesday, April 13, 2010
Flying Pig Top Performers
| Runner | Class | Event Score | Power | improve |
| Noah Dixon | M-16 | 48.4 | 37.8 | 28.0% |
| Eric Collins | M-16 | 51.2 | 41.3 | 24.0% |
| Mathew Rogers | M-16 | 80.2 | 64.8 | 23.8% |
| Nikolay Glukhov | M60+ | 81 | 67.5 | 20.0% |
| Melvin Turman | M-18 | 95.6 | 79.7 | 19.9% |
| Tom Nolan | M55+ | 101.8 | 85.2 | 19.5% |
| Steve Ohrwaschel | M50+ | 45.4 | 38.3 | 18.5% |
| Stephen Shannonhouse | M65+ | 54 | 45.7 | 18.2% |
| John Barrett | M-10 | 54.1 | 46.2 | 17.1% |
| Ricardo Martinez | M-18 | 69.9 | 59.8 | 16.9% |
| Chris Svoboda | M50+ | 84.9 | 72.8 | 16.6% |
| Jeff Collins | M | 49.9 | 43 | 16.0% |
| Zachary Lyons | M-14 | 94.5 | 81.8 | 15.5% |
| Mary Hamilton | F-20 | 74.7 | 64.7 | 15.5% |
| Adam White | M-20 | 74.8 | 64.9 | 15.3% |
| Andrew Spencer | M-18 | 74.6 | 64.8 | 15.1% |
| Chase Thatcher | M-14 | 78.7 | 68.5 | 14.9% |
| Michael Jones | M45+ | 36.6 | 32.1 | 14.0% |
| Robert Kaczorowski | M-18 | 57.5 | 50.5 | 13.9% |
| Lucas Lyons | M-10 | 63.8 | 56.1 | 13.7% |
| Carl Bridges | M45+ | 68.5 | 60.9 | 12.5% |
| Sarah Rogers | F-18 | 65.3 | 58.1 | 12.4% |
| Tracy Whelen | F-16 | 69.1 | 61.6 | 12.2% |
| Johnathan Brittain | M-18 | 48.1 | 43 | 11.9% |
| Phil Martineau | M60+ | 52.9 | 47.3 | 11.8% |
| Louis Pataki | M65+ | 32.6 | 29.4 | 10.9% |
| Eric Bone | M35+ | 135.5 | 122.2 | 10.9% |
| Bob Lux | M60+ | 103.2 | 93.1 | 10.8% |
| Taylor Sneed | M-18 | 55.2 | 49.8 | 10.8% |
| Jim Eagleton | M55+ | 73.7 | 66.6 | 10.7% |
| Seth Bearjar | M | 38.6 | 34.9 | 10.6% |
| Charlie Shahbazian | M55+ | 104.4 | 94.5 | 10.5% |
| Dakotah Hogan | M-18 | 50.9 | 46.1 | 10.4% |
| Hilary Ratliff | F-16 | 64.3 | 58.3 | 10.3% |
| Michael Howard | M-18 | 47.6 | 43.2 | 10.2% |
| Glen Tryson | M55+ | 101.9 | 92.5 | 10.2% |
Monday, April 12, 2010
Flying Pig XIV analysis
Official results are at the OCIN web site
There were 32 course offered 10 first day and 11 +11 two following days
In addition to standard WYOBrGRB, there were off-color courses for IS champs. Effectivelly YOBrG were split on two.
I named standard colors as X and off-colors as Y
Here is my analysis.
Absolute All standings
Patrick Goeres (M-21+), Coureurs de Bois *148.8*(1)
Jon Torrance (M35+), OOC *137.6*(2)
Eric Bone (M35+), COC *135.4*(3)
......
Alison Campbell (F-20), DVOA *95.4*(34)
Absolute Women standings
Alison Campbell (F-20), DVOA *95.4*(1)Corinne Porter (F-21+), DVOA *85.5*(2)
Maiya Anderson (F35+), RMOC *80.1*(3)
By course analysis is here
Do not forget to look for interesting subset of by course analysis ( All Women )
As always (!) and (!!) means 7.5% and 15% above the estimate for this runner, and (?), (??) correspondingly below.
Additional mark {new} was added recently. It shows runners whose name mentioned first time this year and therefore their score is not reliable due to lack of data.
Terrain was on average @ 1000 GV/km (it took 10 minutes for 100 point runner to get through each nominal km of the race)
Absolute standings analysis:
Interesting is that Jaxon Rickel again was ver close to the top in absolute rankings - overall 6th place running Green.
Greg Ahlswede running Red is the top Red runner and 7th overall
Joe Barrett (M-14), PTOC *100.3*(27) running Orange and some Green is top Orange runner and 27th overall
Alison Campbell (F-20), DVOA running Brown and some red is the top Brown runner and 34th overall
Zachary Lyons (M-14), ROC *94.4*(36) running Yellow and some Orange is top Yellow runner and 36th overall. Notice that Zach is very stable and didn't lost any point running Orange and not Yellow. This is very promising fact
Top White runner is Lucas Lyons (M-10), ROC *63.8*(128) and 128th overall
Women standings analysis:
Alison Campbell (F-20), DVOA *95.4*(1) is the fastest by far, running combination of Brown and Red. Red performance was worse than Brown, but this can not be attributed to the length of the course, as it was about the same difficulty (GV=4200) as both browns
Top Red runner is Corinne Porter (F-21+), DVOA *85.5*(2) and 2nd overall, almost 10 points behind Alison
Top Green runner is Elena Logvina (F40+), GHO *79.7*(4)
and 4th overall
Top Orange runner is Katie Williams (F-16), OCIN *70.7*(10) 10th overall
Top yellow runner is Nikki Singley (F-16), DVOA *65.6*(16), 16th overall
Nikki tried Orange during the event.
Top white runner Julia Doubson (F-10), BAOC *56.4*(29) was 29th overall
Here is updated Women A-series rankings
Here is updated Men A-series Rankings
Enjoy.
There were 32 course offered 10 first day and 11 +11 two following days
In addition to standard WYOBrGRB, there were off-color courses for IS champs. Effectivelly YOBrG were split on two.
I named standard colors as X and off-colors as Y
Here is my analysis.
Absolute All standings
Patrick Goeres (M-21+), Coureurs de Bois *148.8*(1)
Jon Torrance (M35+), OOC *137.6*(2)
Eric Bone (M35+), COC *135.4*(3)
......
Alison Campbell (F-20), DVOA *95.4*(34)
Absolute Women standings
Alison Campbell (F-20), DVOA *95.4*(1)Corinne Porter (F-21+), DVOA *85.5*(2)
Maiya Anderson (F35+), RMOC *80.1*(3)
By course analysis is here
Do not forget to look for interesting subset of by course analysis ( All Women )
As always (!) and (!!) means 7.5% and 15% above the estimate for this runner, and (?), (??) correspondingly below.
Additional mark {new} was added recently. It shows runners whose name mentioned first time this year and therefore their score is not reliable due to lack of data.
Terrain was on average @ 1000 GV/km (it took 10 minutes for 100 point runner to get through each nominal km of the race)
Absolute standings analysis:
Interesting is that Jaxon Rickel again was ver close to the top in absolute rankings - overall 6th place running Green.
Greg Ahlswede running Red is the top Red runner and 7th overall
Joe Barrett (M-14), PTOC *100.3*(27) running Orange and some Green is top Orange runner and 27th overall
Alison Campbell (F-20), DVOA running Brown and some red is the top Brown runner and 34th overall
Zachary Lyons (M-14), ROC *94.4*(36) running Yellow and some Orange is top Yellow runner and 36th overall. Notice that Zach is very stable and didn't lost any point running Orange and not Yellow. This is very promising fact
Top White runner is Lucas Lyons (M-10), ROC *63.8*(128) and 128th overall
Women standings analysis:
Alison Campbell (F-20), DVOA *95.4*(1) is the fastest by far, running combination of Brown and Red. Red performance was worse than Brown, but this can not be attributed to the length of the course, as it was about the same difficulty (GV=4200) as both browns
Top Red runner is Corinne Porter (F-21+), DVOA *85.5*(2) and 2nd overall, almost 10 points behind Alison
Top Green runner is Elena Logvina (F40+), GHO *79.7*(4)
and 4th overall
Top Orange runner is Katie Williams (F-16), OCIN *70.7*(10) 10th overall
Top yellow runner is Nikki Singley (F-16), DVOA *65.6*(16), 16th overall
Nikki tried Orange during the event.
Top white runner Julia Doubson (F-10), BAOC *56.4*(29) was 29th overall
Here is updated Women A-series rankings
Here is updated Men A-series Rankings
Enjoy.
Friday, April 2, 2010
Gateway Grunt A-meet review
Official standings are at the Carol's Team site
Here is my analysis.
Absolute All standings
Andy Dale (M40+), ECKO (currently 40th in overall standings)
Kevin Teschendorf (M50+), BGR (currently 134th in overall standings, not qualified)
Maricel Olaru (M-21+), CAOC (currently 44th in overall standings) ....
(22) Anna Shafer-Skelton (F-21+),
Absolute Women standings
Anna Shafer-Skelton (F-21+), SLOC *84.4*(1) (currently 40th in overall standings, not qualified)
Linda Danskanen (F), SLOC *78.9*(2) (currently 52nd in overall standings, not qualified)
Natalia Deconescu (F55+), CAOC *74.9*(3) (currently 22nd in overall standings)
By course analysis is here
As always (!) and (!!) means 7.5% and 15% above the estimate for this runner, and (?), (??) correspondingly below.
Additional mark {new} was added recently. It shows runners whose name mentioned first time this year and therefore their score is not reliable due to lack of data.
Blue/Red Sprint results uneventful. Sprint terrain was simple @ 500 GV/km
Blue Middle terrain was almost twice slower that Sprint (870 GV/km)
Red Middle as about the same speed-wise
Arvid Jasper and James Mullin can be mentioned as best performers
Green-to-Orange Sprint was about the same speed-wise as Blue Sprint (500)
There was number of significant errors and Improvement by runners with !! and ??
Green Middle produced TOO many exceptional results in both positive and negative directions. Apparently there was something tricky. Same can be said about Brown. and Fundraiser Sprint.
Anybody who participated can comment?
Extreme performers are below
Enjoy.
Here is my analysis.
Absolute All standings
Andy Dale (M40+), ECKO (currently 40th in overall standings)
Kevin Teschendorf (M50+), BGR (currently 134th in overall standings, not qualified)
Maricel Olaru (M-21+), CAOC (currently 44th in overall standings) ....
(22) Anna Shafer-Skelton (F-21+),
Absolute Women standings
Anna Shafer-Skelton (F-21+), SLOC *84.4*(1) (currently 40th in overall standings, not qualified)
Linda Danskanen (F), SLOC *78.9*(2) (currently 52nd in overall standings, not qualified)
Natalia Deconescu (F55+), CAOC *74.9*(3) (currently 22nd in overall standings)
By course analysis is here
As always (!) and (!!) means 7.5% and 15% above the estimate for this runner, and (?), (??) correspondingly below.
Additional mark {new} was added recently. It shows runners whose name mentioned first time this year and therefore their score is not reliable due to lack of data.
Blue/Red Sprint results uneventful. Sprint terrain was simple @ 500 GV/km
Blue Middle terrain was almost twice slower that Sprint (870 GV/km)
Red Middle as about the same speed-wise
Arvid Jasper and James Mullin can be mentioned as best performers
Green-to-Orange Sprint was about the same speed-wise as Blue Sprint (500)
There was number of significant errors and Improvement by runners with !! and ??
Green Middle produced TOO many exceptional results in both positive and negative directions. Apparently there was something tricky. Same can be said about Brown. and Fundraiser Sprint.
Anybody who participated can comment?
Extreme performers are below
| Runner | Class | Club | improve |
| Bruce Metz | M55+ | CAOC | 17.6% |
| Judith Martineau | F50+ | MNOC | 17.1% |
| Richard Gaylord | M65+ | CAOC | 13.7% |
| Fran Armstrong | F60+ | SLOC | 12.9% |
| Charlie Bleau | M50+ | GAOC | 12.6% |
| John Barrett | M-10 | PTOC | 10.9% |
| Natalia Deconescu | F55+ | CAOC | -10.1% |
| Joseph Sackett | M45+ | CAOC | -12.0% |
| Joe Barrett | M-14 | PTOC | -12.1% |
| Valerie Metz | F50+ | CAOC | -12.3% |
| George Minarik | M60+ | BAOC | -13.4% |
| Lukas Lamb | M | SLOC | -15.3% |
| Pilar Williamsen | M | SLOC | -16.6% |
| Roddy Wares | F60+ | SMOC | -17.0% |
| Nancy Neuburger | F65+ | PTOC | -17.9% |
| Rachel Furman | F | SLOC | -20.9% |
Enjoy.
Sunday, March 7, 2010
Sycamore Scramble Review
Thank you to the BOK e-punch team for the data.
Official standings by age class are at the BOK web page here
Here is my analysis.
Absolute Women standings (all 3 disciplines)
Hannah Burgess (F-20), USMAOC
Holly Kuestner (F-20), COC
Cristina Luis (F-21+), DVOA
Absolute Men standings
William Hawkins (M-21+),CSU
Leif Anderson (M-21+), SAMM
Ken Jr Walker (M-21+), CSU
By course analysis is here As always (!) and (!!) means 7.5% and 15% above the estimate for this runner, and (?), (??) correspondingly below.
Enjoy
Official standings by age class are at the BOK web page here
Here is my analysis.
Absolute Women standings (all 3 disciplines)
Hannah Burgess (F-20), USMAOC
Holly Kuestner (F-20), COC
Cristina Luis (F-21+), DVOA
Absolute Men standings
William Hawkins (M-21+),CSU
Leif Anderson (M-21+), SAMM
Ken Jr Walker (M-21+), CSU
By course analysis is here As always (!) and (!!) means 7.5% and 15% above the estimate for this runner, and (?), (??) correspondingly below.
Enjoy
Friday, March 5, 2010
O-scores version of Final WIOL Standings
I used 8 races of the season for final results, including Champs. Only 4 best races counted, no trace.
Absolute Girls Standings
Absolute Boys Standings
Age Groups here - flip color of the race to get different age groups:
White - course 1 <..> Red - course 6
Just so there isn't any confusion...
The official WIOL standings are here:
http://www.wiol.org/Results/current/
and at the top right corner of the blog.
Analysis follows
Absolute Girls
Bonnie and Tracy are the 1st an second overall, with 3 others very close: Becky, Sarah and Hillary in this order.
Jennifer Perry is next - very talented Middle school runner, Followed by April - winner of the JV Girls.
Absolute Boys
Reid is first by only half of the point, but he wins Alexander Cook who is second. Jason is very close Third.
Bunch of JV boys follow. David and Devon are within 2 points of Jason.
Nathan, Alec and Michael are a bit further from leaders but within 0.4 point of each other!!!
Good Job JV gentlemen!!!
Podiums in each group are also interesting and not always follow official standings. Enjoy
Varsity Girls Bonnie Gilbery Tracy Whelen Becky Forgrave
JV Girls April McCabe Bryn Scharenberg Kendall Rock
MS Girls Jennifer Perry Claire Perry
ES Girls Notice that Rosemary is very well on the level of serious runners
Varsity Boys Reid Mayfield Jason Allmaras Daniel Cernin
JV Boys Alexander Cook David Inglis Devon Grove
MS Boys Ondrej Cernin Tyler Phillips Damien Thomas-Cook
ES Boys Cameron Crawford Drew Feucht Omar Barnes
Absolute Girls Standings
Absolute Boys Standings
Age Groups here - flip color of the race to get different age groups:
White - course 1 <..> Red - course 6
Just so there isn't any confusion...
The official WIOL standings are here:
http://www.wiol.org/Results/current/
and at the top right corner of the blog.
Analysis follows
Absolute Girls
Bonnie and Tracy are the 1st an second overall, with 3 others very close: Becky, Sarah and Hillary in this order.
Jennifer Perry is next - very talented Middle school runner, Followed by April - winner of the JV Girls.
Absolute Boys
Reid is first by only half of the point, but he wins Alexander Cook who is second. Jason is very close Third.
Bunch of JV boys follow. David and Devon are within 2 points of Jason.
Nathan, Alec and Michael are a bit further from leaders but within 0.4 point of each other!!!
Good Job JV gentlemen!!!
Podiums in each group are also interesting and not always follow official standings. Enjoy
Varsity Girls Bonnie Gilbery Tracy Whelen Becky Forgrave
JV Girls April McCabe Bryn Scharenberg Kendall Rock
MS Girls Jennifer Perry Claire Perry
ES Girls Notice that Rosemary is very well on the level of serious runners
Varsity Boys Reid Mayfield Jason Allmaras Daniel Cernin
JV Boys Alexander Cook David Inglis Devon Grove
MS Boys Ondrej Cernin Tyler Phillips Damien Thomas-Cook
ES Boys Cameron Crawford Drew Feucht Omar Barnes
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