Tuesday, April 13, 2010

Flying Pig Top Performers

Runner  Class  Event Score Power improve
 Noah Dixon  M-16 48.4 37.8 28.0%
 Eric Collins  M-16 51.2 41.3 24.0%
 Mathew Rogers  M-16 80.2 64.8 23.8%
 Nikolay Glukhov  M60+ 81 67.5 20.0%
 Melvin Turman  M-18 95.6 79.7 19.9%
 Tom Nolan  M55+ 101.8 85.2 19.5%
 Steve Ohrwaschel  M50+ 45.4 38.3 18.5%
 Stephen Shannonhouse  M65+ 54 45.7 18.2%
 John Barrett  M-10 54.1 46.2 17.1%
 Ricardo Martinez  M-18 69.9 59.8 16.9%
 Chris Svoboda  M50+ 84.9 72.8 16.6%
 Jeff Collins  M 49.9 43 16.0%
 Zachary Lyons  M-14 94.5 81.8 15.5%
 Mary Hamilton  F-20 74.7 64.7 15.5%
 Adam White  M-20 74.8 64.9 15.3%
 Andrew Spencer  M-18 74.6 64.8 15.1%
 Chase Thatcher  M-14 78.7 68.5 14.9%
 Michael Jones  M45+ 36.6 32.1 14.0%
 Robert Kaczorowski  M-18 57.5 50.5 13.9%
 Lucas Lyons  M-10 63.8 56.1 13.7%
 Carl Bridges  M45+ 68.5 60.9 12.5%
 Sarah Rogers  F-18 65.3 58.1 12.4%
 Tracy Whelen  F-16 69.1 61.6 12.2%
 Johnathan Brittain  M-18 48.1 43 11.9%
 Phil Martineau  M60+ 52.9 47.3 11.8%
 Louis Pataki  M65+ 32.6 29.4 10.9%
 Eric Bone  M35+ 135.5 122.2 10.9%
 Bob Lux  M60+ 103.2 93.1 10.8%
 Taylor Sneed  M-18 55.2 49.8 10.8%
 Jim Eagleton  M55+ 73.7 66.6 10.7%
 Seth Bearjar  M 38.6 34.9 10.6%
 Charlie Shahbazian  M55+ 104.4 94.5 10.5%
 Dakotah Hogan  M-18 50.9 46.1 10.4%
 Hilary Ratliff  F-16 64.3 58.3 10.3%
 Michael Howard  M-18 47.6 43.2 10.2%
 Glen Tryson  M55+ 101.9 92.5 10.2%

Monday, April 12, 2010

Flying Pig XIV analysis

Official results are at the OCIN web site

There were 32 course offered 10 first day and 11 +11 two following days
In addition to standard WYOBrGRB, there were off-color courses for IS champs. Effectivelly YOBrG were split on two.
I named standard colors as X and off-colors as Y


Here is my analysis.

Absolute All standings


Patrick Goeres (M-21+), Coureurs de Bois *148.8*(1)
Jon Torrance (M35+), OOC *137.6*(2)
Eric Bone (M35+), COC *135.4*(3)
......
Alison Campbell (F-20), DVOA *95.4*(34)

Absolute Women standings 

Alison Campbell (F-20), DVOA *95.4*(1)Corinne Porter (F-21+), DVOA *85.5*(2)
Maiya Anderson (F35+), RMOC *80.1*(3) 

By course analysis is here

Do not forget to look for interesting subset of by course analysis ( All Women )
As always (!) and (!!) means 7.5% and 15% above the estimate for this runner, and (?), (??) correspondingly below.
Additional mark {new} was added recently. It shows runners whose name mentioned first time this year and therefore their score is not reliable due to lack of data.

Terrain was on average @ 1000 GV/km (it took 10 minutes for 100 point runner to get through each nominal km of the race)

Absolute standings analysis:

Interesting is that Jaxon Rickel again was ver close to the top in absolute rankings - overall 6th place running Green.
Greg Ahlswede running Red  is the top Red runner and 7th overall

Joe Barrett (M-14), PTOC *100.3*(27) running Orange and some Green is top Orange runner and 27th overall

Alison Campbell (F-20), DVOA running Brown and some red is the top Brown runner and 34th overall

Zachary Lyons (M-14), ROC *94.4*(36) running Yellow and some Orange is top Yellow runner and 36th overall. Notice that Zach is very stable and didn't lost any point running Orange and not Yellow. This is very promising fact

Top White runner is Lucas Lyons (M-10), ROC *63.8*(128) and 128th overall


Women standings analysis:

Alison Campbell (F-20), DVOA *95.4*(1) is the fastest by far, running combination of Brown and Red. Red performance was worse than Brown, but this can not be attributed to the length of the course, as it was about the same difficulty  (GV=4200) as both browns

Top Red runner is Corinne Porter (F-21+), DVOA *85.5*(2)  and 2nd overall, almost 10 points behind Alison

Top Green runner is Elena Logvina (F40+), GHO *79.7*(4)

and 4th overall

Top Orange runner is Katie Williams (F-16), OCIN *70.7*(10) 10th overall

Top yellow runner is Nikki Singley (F-16), DVOA *65.6*(16),  16th overall
Nikki tried Orange during the event.

Top white runner Julia Doubson (F-10), BAOC *56.4*(29) was 29th overall


Here is updated Women A-series rankings
Here is updated  Men A-series Rankings

Enjoy.

Friday, April 2, 2010

Gateway Grunt A-meet review

Official standings are at the Carol's Team site
Here is my analysis.

Absolute All standings

Andy Dale (M40+), ECKO (currently 40th in overall standings)
Kevin Teschendorf (M50+), BGR (currently 134th in overall standings, not qualified)
Maricel Olaru (M-21+), CAOC (currently 44th in overall standings)  ....
(22) Anna Shafer-Skelton (F-21+),

Absolute Women standings 

Anna Shafer-Skelton (F-21+), SLOC *84.4*(1) (currently 40th in overall standings, not qualified)
Linda Danskanen (F), SLOC *78.9*(2) (currently 52nd in overall standings, not qualified)
Natalia Deconescu (F55+), CAOC *74.9*(3) (currently 22nd in overall standings)




By course analysis is here
As always (!) and (!!) means 7.5% and 15% above the estimate for this runner, and (?), (??) correspondingly below.
Additional mark {new} was added recently. It shows runners whose name mentioned first time this year and therefore their score is not reliable due to lack of data.

Blue/Red Sprint results uneventful. Sprint terrain was simple @ 500 GV/km

Blue Middle terrain was almost twice slower that Sprint (870 GV/km)
Red Middle as about the same speed-wise
Arvid Jasper and James Mullin can be mentioned as best performers

Green-to-Orange Sprint was  about the same speed-wise as Blue Sprint (500)
There was number of significant errors and Improvement by runners with !! and ??

Green Middle produced TOO many exceptional results in both positive and negative directions. Apparently there was something tricky.  Same can be said about Brown. and  Fundraiser Sprint.
Anybody  who participated can comment?

Extreme performers are below


Runner  Class  Club improve
 Bruce Metz  M55+  CAOC 17.6%
 Judith Martineau  F50+  MNOC 17.1%
 Richard Gaylord  M65+  CAOC 13.7%
 Fran Armstrong  F60+  SLOC 12.9%
 Charlie Bleau  M50+  GAOC 12.6%
 John Barrett  M-10  PTOC 10.9%
 Natalia Deconescu  F55+  CAOC -10.1%
 Joseph Sackett  M45+  CAOC -12.0%
 Joe Barrett  M-14  PTOC -12.1%
 Valerie Metz  F50+  CAOC -12.3%
 George Minarik  M60+  BAOC -13.4%
 Lukas Lamb  M  SLOC -15.3%
 Pilar Williamsen  M  SLOC -16.6%
 Roddy Wares  F60+  SMOC -17.0%
 Nancy Neuburger  F65+  PTOC -17.9%
 Rachel Furman  F  SLOC -20.9%

Enjoy.

Sunday, March 7, 2010

Sycamore Scramble Review

Thank you to the BOK e-punch team for the data.
Official standings by age class are at the BOK web page here
Here is my analysis.

Absolute Women standings (all 3 disciplines)

Hannah Burgess (F-20), USMAOC
Holly Kuestner (F-20), COC
Cristina Luis (F-21+), DVOA

Absolute Men standings
William Hawkins (M-21+),CSU       
Leif Anderson (M-21+),  SAMM
Ken Jr Walker (M-21+), CSU     

By course analysis is here As always (!) and (!!) means 7.5% and 15% above the estimate for this runner, and (?), (??) correspondingly below.

Enjoy

Friday, March 5, 2010

O-scores version of Final WIOL Standings

I used 8 races of the season for final results, including Champs. Only 4 best races counted, no trace.
 
Absolute Girls Standings
Absolute Boys Standings

Age Groups here - flip color of the race to get different age groups:
White - course 1 <..> Red - course 6

Just so there isn't any confusion...

The official WIOL standings are here:
http://www.wiol.org/Results/current/

and at the top right corner of the blog.


Analysis follows


Absolute Girls


Bonnie and Tracy are the 1st an second overall,  with 3 others very close: Becky, Sarah and Hillary in this order.
Jennifer Perry is next - very talented Middle school runner, Followed by April - winner of the JV Girls.


Absolute Boys

Reid is first by only half of the point, but he wins Alexander Cook  who is second. Jason is very close Third.
Bunch of JV boys follow. David and Devon are within 2 points of Jason.
Nathan, Alec and Michael are a bit further from leaders but within 0.4 point of each other!!!

Good Job JV gentlemen!!!


Podiums in each group are also interesting and not always follow official standings. Enjoy

Varsity Girls   Bonnie Gilbery Tracy Whelen Becky Forgrave
 JV Girls April McCabe Bryn Scharenberg Kendall Rock
MS Girls  Jennifer Perry Claire Perry
ES Girls Notice that Rosemary is very well on the level of serious runners

Varsity Boys  Reid Mayfield Jason Allmaras Daniel Cernin
JV Boys Alexander Cook David Inglis Devon Grove
MS Boys Ondrej Cernin Tyler Phillips Damien Thomas-Cook
ES Boys Cameron Crawford Drew Feucht Omar Barnes

Tuesday, February 16, 2010

BAOC Shell Ridge 2010-02-14 Personal Note

I Liked the event very much. Lena went in the morning for a Brown run and I took Ada, Senya and our friends for a White. Even though it was no white by "stroller-can-do-it" standards, this was the most beautiful hikes I did in quite a while. After enormous hike up the hill
There were a lot of nice climbable trees
 
 and spectacular views.
  
Last down hill was almost scary...
  

 At the far end of the route we got to watch a lot of frogs in the pond.

Lena was on Brown, which was unexpectedly long and she decided to DNF to let me run. I started Green at 12:30, just before the course closing. It was great run, with a lot of tiny mistakes. One of the best technical courses I have run recently. Micro route choices, long legs with a lot of power required, runnable trails and creeks. Great Course overall.

BAOC Shell Ridge 2010-02-14



This year Shell ridge was very tough for intermediate runners.

( B : 7900, R: 6900; G: 6600; Br: 6400; O: 4200; Y: 2100; W: 1700)

Blue was on the easy side with GV = 7900, while Red, Green and Brown were about the same difficulty, varying from 6900 for red to 6400 for Brown. For Brown this is twice as usually expected!!!
Orange is 4200, Yellow is 2100 and White is 1700. White is twice more than usual also...


Compare event Y2007 here ( B : 9800, R: 7500; G: 4600; Br: 3800; O: 3200; Y: 2000; W: 1300)

Unexpected difficulty of Brown is mainly due to the terrain and not the length of the course.
Terrain difficulty for Brown is  almost 1500/km which means 100 point runner (Tapio) would spend 15 minutes per nominal kilometer of the race. Compare with 11 minutes per kilometer on Red and Blue.

Top Performers are marked with (!) and (!!) as usual

Most of the people performed as usual.

Speeders to be mentioned arer Piers Newbery, JOK (guest?)  second on blue
Rebecca Minty - first on Red
and William Folette - second on Brown.

White was tough and spread people along the time line. Julia and Hannah finished within a minute. with Hannah being relatively faster.


Extreme performers are below. Any error to be corrected?
Enjoy



Runner  Class improve
 William Follette  M 37.9%
 Olga Seredenko  F45+ 32.4%
 Sasha Iakovlev  M 23.5%
 John and Jeff Skinner  N/A 16.2%
 Hannah Kopisch  F-10 16.1%
 Jason Lorenz  M-21+ 16.0%
 Francois Leonard  M35+ 13.8%
 Natalie Kim  F 13.5%
 Julia Doubson  F-10 12.5%
 Gavin Williams  M-12 10.3%
 Marina Keating  F45+ 10.1%
 Patty Clemo  F55+ -11.4%
 Natalie Pelayo  F-10 -11.9%
 Bob Cooley  M65+ -12.7%
 Kate Tennant  F50+ -13.0%
 Penelope Cox  F -13.2%
 Nick Giori  M45+ -13.6%
 Marie-Josee Parayre  F35+ -13.7%
 Scott Novotny  M50+ -15.0%
 Angela Hunter  F50+ -18.3%
 Nigel Killeen  M -21.7%
 Johanna Karras  F-12 -22.5%
 Jonathan Hallsted  M -23.3%
 Masha Konkov  F-10 -30.7%
 Cassandra Pelayo  F-12 -30.8%